Rayner Arias
Born 04-29-2006
Bats R Throws R
Real Stats, No DT
Rayner Arias Born 2006042920 Bats R Throws R Height 74 Weight 185 No DT, Real
Year Team Lge AB H DB TP HR BB SO R RBI SB CS Out BA OBP SLG EqA EqR POW SPD KRt WRt BIP Defense
2023 dgt DSL 58 24 6 2 4 15 11 19 21 4 2 37 .414 .539 .793 .409 20 53 17 19 14 40 16-CF -2
2024 GIB ACL 88 22 8 1 0 12 27 16 16 3 3 69 .250 .371 .364 .242 10 -17 21 -1 -3 1 14-CF 0 7-RF 0
2025 GIB ACL 153 37 6 2 3 15 46 27 18 4 2 120 .242 .333 .366 .242 17 0 12 -6 -6 -5 25-LF 2 15-RF 2
2025 San_Jose____ Cal 25 1 0 0 0 2 9 1 2 1 0 26 .040 .133 .040 .000 0 -10 -2 -9 -4 -32 6-RF 0 1-LF 0
2026 GIB ACL 97 19 4 0 4 13 39 19 17 3 0 79 .196 .342 .361 .238 11 20 7 -20 -6 -22 12-LF 1 8-RF 0
2026 SFGNL 347 53 9 0 9 21 133 32 30 5 2 296 .153 .212 .256 .179 20 -4 -2 -26 -5 -20 86 LF 0 0 38 48 52 40
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Minors 421 103 24 5 11 57 132 82 74 15 7 331 .245 .362 .404 .261 57 8 13 -5 -3 -5 38-LF 3 35-RF 2
Total* 421 103 24 5 11 57 132 82 74 15 7 331 .245 .362 .404 .261 57 8 13 -5 -3 -5 38-LF 3 35-RF 2
Regular DT
Rayner Arias Born 2006042920 Bats R Throws R Height 74 Weight 185 Regular DT Std=245/315/400, 260
Year Team Lge AB H DB TP HR BB SO R RBI SB CS Out BA OBP SLG EqA EqR POW SPD KRt WRt BIP Defense
2023 dgt DSL 70 17 3 0 2 5 25 8 8 1 0 53 .243 .293 .371 .244 8 1 -6 -21 -3 14 16-CF -2
2024 GIB ACL 99 13 4 0 0 5 47 6 6 1 1 87 .131 .181 .172 .090 1 -30 1 -43 -6 -12 14-CF 0 7-RF 0
2025 GIB ACL 167 26 4 0 2 7 71 13 9 1 1 143 .156 .198 .216 .136 5 -18 -5 -34 -7 -10 25-LF 1 15-RF 2
2025 San_Jose____ Cal 27 1 0 0 0 1 12 1 1 1 0 27 .037 .069 .037 .000 0 -17 4 -17 -4 -26 6-RF 0 1-LF 0
2026 GIB ACL 111 14 2 0 2 6 55 8 8 1 0 98 .126 .190 .198 .129 3 -9 -6 -45 -6 -19 12-LF 1 8-RF 0
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Minors 474 71 13 0 6 24 210 36 32 5 2 408 .150 .199 .215 .146 17 -17 -3 -37 -6 -12 38-LF 2 35-RF 1
Total* 474 71 13 0 6 24 210 36 32 5 2 408 .150 .199 .215 .146 17 -17 -3 -37 -6 -12 38-LF 2 35-RF 1
Peak (Age-adjusted) DT
Rayner Arias Born 2006042920 Bats R Throws R Height 74 Weight 185 Peak DT Std=245/315/400, 260
Year Team Lge AB H DB TP HR BB SO R RBI SB CS Out BA OBP SLG EqA EqR POW SPD KRt WRt BIP Defense
2023 dgt DSL 70 19 3 0 3 6 19 9 10 1 0 51 .271 .333 .457 .282 11 15 -6 -5 0 10 16-CF -1
2024 GIB ACL 99 17 4 0 1 9 40 9 10 1 1 83 .172 .257 .253 .188 6 -14 -2 -27 0 -6 14-CF 0 7-RF 0
2025 GIB ACL 167 32 5 0 4 10 61 16 13 1 1 137 .192 .249 .287 .196 12 -7 -6 -22 -4 -6 25-LF 2 15-RF 2
2025 San_Jose____ Cal 27 3 0 0 0 2 10 1 2 1 0 25 .111 .172 .148 .104 0 -12 -2 -12 -2 -15 6-RF 0 1-LF 0
2026 GIB ACL 111 17 2 0 3 8 50 11 10 1 0 95 .153 .240 .252 .186 7 -1 -7 -35 -2 -12 12-LF 1 8-RF 0
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Minors 474 88 15 0 11 35 180 46 45 5 2 391 .186 .249 .291 .203 36 -5 -5 -24 -2 -6 38-LF 2 35-RF 2
Total* 474 88 15 0 11 35 180 46 45 5 2 391 .186 .249 .291 .203 36 -5 -5 -24 -2 -6 38-LF 2 35-RF 2
Year-projected (Age-adjusted) DT for 2026
Rayner Arias Born 2006042920 Bats R Throws R Height 74 Weight 185 Year-adj DT Std=245/315/400, 260
Year Team Lge AB H DB TP HR BB SO R RBI SB CS Out BA OBP SLG EqA EqR POW SPD KRt WRt BIP Defense
2023 dgt DSL 70 17 3 0 2 5 23 8 9 1 0 53 .243 .293 .386 .249 8 6 -5 -14 -2 6 16-CF -1
2024 GIB ACL 99 15 4 0 1 7 44 7 7 1 1 85 .152 .210 .212 .145 3 -23 -1 -36 -4 -9 14-CF 0 7-RF 0
2025 GIB ACL 167 28 4 0 3 8 68 14 10 1 1 141 .168 .215 .240 .159 7 -14 -5 -30 -7 -8 25-LF 1 15-RF 1
2025 San_Jose____ Cal 27 2 0 0 0 1 11 1 1 1 0 26 .074 .138 .111 .000 0 -15 -1 -16 -3 -16 6-RF 0 1-LF 0
2026 GIB ACL 111 14 2 0 2 6 55 8 8 1 0 98 .126 .190 .198 .129 3 -9 -6 -45 -6 -19 12-LF 1 8-RF 0
2026 SFGNL 347 53 9 0 9 21 133 32 30 5 2 296 .153 .212 .256 .179 20 -4 -2 -26 -5 -20 86 LF 0 0 38 48 52 40
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Minors 534 84 14 0 8 29 227 42 37 6 2 456 .157 .209 .230 .157 22 -14 -4 -33 -5 -11 38-LF 2 35-RF 1
Total* 534 84 14 0 8 29 227 42 37 6 2 456 .157 .209 .230 .157 22 -14 -4 -33 -5 -11 38-LF 2 35-RF 1
2026 SFG H ARIAS20060429A
Six-year mean projection from 2026
Year Tm Lge Age PA AB R H DB TP HR RBI BB SO SB CS BAvg OBP SLG EqBA EqOBA EqSLG EqA RAR WARP MJ Brk Imp Col Att Drp Ups
2026 SFG NL 20 371 345 33 58 10 0 9 30 22 123 6 2 .168 .226 .275 .179 .232 .276 .190 -20.1 -2.4 0 38 48 52 40 28 14
2027 SFG NL 21 324 302 29 51 9 0 8 26 19 104 6 2 .169 .225 .278 .179 .232 .276 .190 -17.4 -2.0 0 37 39 59 53 48 14
2028 SFG NL 22 207 192 18 32 6 0 5 16 13 69 3 2 .167 .227 .276 .175 .230 .273 .187 -11.5 -1.4 0 26 32 67 62 58 19
2029 SFG NL 23 140 129 13 21 4 0 4 12 10 46 2 1 .163 .229 .287 .172 .233 .280 .191 -7.1 -0.8 0 23 23 77 75 74 19
2030 SFG NL 24 91 86 8 13 3 0 3 8 6 29 1 1 .151 .198 .291 .165 .215 .258 .176 -6.0 -0.7 3 11 12 89 88 83 19
2031 SFG NL 25 72 66 8 12 3 0 2 8 4 19 1 0 .182 .250 .318 .194 .255 .301 .206 -2.2 -0.3 6 11 11 89 89 88 19
UPSIDE ARIAS20060429A 2026 806976 Arias Rayner SFG 15.
Percentiles
Pct Tm Lge Age PA AB R H DB TP HR RBI BB SO SB CS BAvg OBP SLG EqBA EqOBA EqSLG EqA RAR WARP MJ Brk Imp Col Att Drp Ups
90 SFG NL 20 414 382 42 76 15 1 9 33 27 125 7 3 .199 .261 .314 .204 .261 .312 .212 -11.8 -1.4 0 100 100 3 14 3 14
80 SFG NL 20 415 385 40 73 14 1 8 33 24 133 8 3 .190 .248 .294 .194 .249 .297 .203 -16.3 -1.9 0 83 100 2 11 2 14
70 SFG NL 20 423 391 42 69 12 1 11 36 25 136 8 3 .176 .239 .297 .187 .242 .290 .198 -17.9 -2.1 0 60 77 24 20 9 14
60 SFG NL 20 396 368 37 64 11 0 11 34 23 129 7 2 .174 .232 .293 .184 .237 .284 .193 -18.3 -2.1 0 46 58 42 30 22 14
50 SFG NL 20 371 345 33 58 10 0 9 30 22 123 6 2 .168 .226 .275 .179 .232 .276 .190 -20.1 -2.4 0 38 48 52 40 28 14
40 SFG NL 20 271 254 22 38 7 0 7 21 14 96 4 2 .150 .203 .260 .156 .203 .243 .167 -19.0 -2.3 0 16 29 71 50 38 14
30 SFG NL 20 207 195 14 25 4 0 4 13 11 75 2 1 .128 .179 .210 .139 .183 .208 .147 -19.8 -2.4 0 0 7 92 61 48 14
20 SFG NL 20 141 133 10 17 3 0 3 8 8 53 1 0 .128 .177 .218 .131 .175 .190 .137 -13.2 -1.6 0 0 0 100 68 58 14
10 SFG NL 20 133 124 9 14 3 0 2 9 7 47 1 0 .113 .173 .185 .118 .165 .174 .128 -13.8 -1.7 0 0 0 100 74 59 14
Top comparable players Baseline Performance Next Year Performance
Year Name PA EQA EQR BA OBP SLG PA EQA EQR BA OBP SLG DIF
2026. Rayner Arias 294. .161 12. .158 .209 .226
2010. Julio Aparicio 241. .169 11. .161 .217 .239 108. .116 2. .137 .186 .186 -0.053
1997. Jake Messner 176. .166 8. .174 .217 .240 188. .185 11. .181 .208 .308 .019
2004. Josh Burrus 300. .173 15. .172 .232 .225 550. .218 46. .213 .257 .323 .045
1997. Jesus Herrera 146. .150 5. .172 .204 .229 . .000 . .000 .000 .000 -0.150
2024. Alexander Benua 82. .164 4. .169 .216 .221 159. .217 13. .214 .258 .314 .053
2024. Jhonny Piron 153. .151 5. .159 .215 .211 . .000 . .000 .000 .000 -0.151
2003. Mike Conroy 203. .144 6. .160 .205 .222 307. .242 32. .251 .280 .397 .098
2024. Mauricio Pierre 130. .149 4. .171 .204 .200 111. .114 2. .136 .198 .175 -0.035
2013. Dillon Thomas 98. .186 6. .182 .248 .222 357. .199 24. .208 .252 .291 .013
1995. Josh Watts 210. .182 11. .183 .233 .255 406. .209 30. .197 .266 .281 .027
2003. Laumin Bessa 176. .188 10. .191 .226 .290 . .000 . .000 .000 .000 -0.188
2014. Phillips Castillo 240. .168 11. .152 .206 .265 207. .200 14. .173 .237 .309 .032
2008. Travis Mitchell 231. .154 9. .174 .203 .217 183. .163 8. .139 .186 .237 .009
2013. Carl Thomore 159. .142 5. .130 .218 .190 199. .170 9. .152 .241 .202 .028
2020. Charles Reyes 119. .157 5. .178 .210 .236 . .000 . .000 .000 .000 -0.157
2000. C.J. Thomas 212. .173 10. .160 .226 .250 271. .226 24. .240 .277 .325 .052
2024. Eddy Beltre 91. .172 4. .171 .249 .222 . .000 . .000 .000 .000 -0.172
2006. Jayson Santiago 124. .149 4. .158 .206 .219 . .000 . .000 .000 .000 -0.149
2011. Geulin Beltre 257. .168 12. .162 .211 .253 506. .210 38. .221 .264 .291 .042
1997. Cy Simonton 170. .149 6. .164 .220 .190 . .000 . .000 .000 .000 -0.149
/home/clayd/baseball/current/defense/splitdts
Splits for 2026 GIB ACL -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Year Tm Lge AB H DB TP HR BB SO R RBI SB CS Out BAvg OBA SlgA EqA EqR POW SPD KRt WRt BIP
ALL 2026 GIB ACL 97 19 4 0 4 13 39 19 17 3 0 79 .196 .342 .361 .238 11 20 7 -20 -6 -22
vLH 2026 GIB ACL 14 4 1 0 1 3 4 2 1 0 0 10 .286 .412 .571 .311 3 13 -4 2 2 -2
vRH 2026 GIB ACL 85 15 3 0 3 10 35 18 15 0 0 70 .176 .327 .318 .211 7 15 10 -23 -8 -28
ROAD 2026 GIB ACL 51 12 4 0 1 9 20 15 7 0 0 39 .235 .391 .373 .258 7 4 39 -16 1 2
HOME 2026 GIB ACL 48 7 0 0 3 4 19 5 9 0 0 41 .146 .286 .333 .191 3 32 -20 -19 -12 -48
EMPTY 2026 GIB ACL 35 7 2 0 2 6 16 2 0 0 0 28 .200 .429 .429 .291 6 40 -12 -15 -2 -13
MEN_ON 2026 GIB ACL 64 12 2 0 2 7 23 18 16 0 0 52 .188 .282 .312 .179 4 5 48 -18 -8 -28
MAY 2026 GIB ACL 40 3 1 0 0 3 18 0 5 0 0 37 .075 .178 .100 .000 -2 -22 -11 -29 -10 -42
JUNE 2026 GIB ACL 32 9 3 0 0 4 11 8 6 0 0 23 .281 .395 .375 .259 4 -11 15 -5 -4 11
JULY 2026 GIB ACL 27 7 0 0 4 6 10 12 5 0 0 20 .259 .474 .704 .360 8 76 17 -1 2 -20
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Splits for 2025 SJO CLF -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Year Tm Lge AB H DB TP HR BB SO R RBI SB CS Out BAvg OBA SlgA EqA EqR POW SPD KRt WRt BIP
ALL 2025 SJO CLF 25 1 0 0 0 2 9 1 2 1 0 26 .040 .133 .040 .000 0 -10 -2 -9 -4 -32
vLH 2025 SJO CLF 7 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 0 0 7 .000 .000 .000 .000 -1 -2 -2 -11 -3 -9
vRH 2025 SJO CLF 20 1 0 0 0 2 4 1 6 0 0 19 .050 .182 .050 .000 -1 -8 -5 5 -2 -23
ROAD 2025 SJO CLF 16 0 0 0 0 1 7 0 2 0 0 16 .000 .059 .000 .000 -1 -6 -4 -10 -3 -22
HOME 2025 SJO CLF 11 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 4 0 0 10 .091 .231 .091 .046 0 -5 -2 4 -2 -11
EMPTY 2025 SJO CLF 10 0 0 0 0 1 4 0 0 0 0 10 .000 .167 .000 .000 0 -4 -3 -4 -1 -16
MEN_ON 2025 SJO CLF 17 1 0 0 0 1 5 1 6 0 0 16 .059 .111 .059 .000 -1 -6 2 -2 -4 -18
JULY 2025 SJO CLF 27 1 0 0 0 2 9 1 6 0 0 26 .037 .138 .037 .000 -1 -10 -6 -6 -5 -32
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Splits for 2025 GIB ACL -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Year Tm Lge AB H DB TP HR BB SO R RBI SB CS Out BAvg OBA SlgA EqA EqR POW SPD KRt WRt BIP
ALL 2025 GIB ACL 153 37 6 2 3 15 46 27 18 4 2 120 .242 .333 .366 .242 17 0 12 -6 -6 -5
vLH 2025 GIB ACL 34 6 0 1 1 1 13 4 7 0 0 28 .176 .200 .324 .152 1 4 10 -17 -10 -14
vRH 2025 GIB ACL 123 31 6 1 2 14 33 26 20 0 0 92 .252 .361 .366 .252 15 0 10 3 -4 -5
ROAD 2025 GIB ACL 89 21 5 0 2 6 22 16 13 0 0 68 .236 .309 .360 .223 8 7 13 4 -11 -15
HOME 2025 GIB ACL 68 16 1 2 1 9 24 14 14 0 0 52 .235 .354 .353 .248 8 -6 9 -14 -1 1
EMPTY 2025 GIB ACL 86 22 4 1 2 6 23 2 4 0 0 64 .256 .340 .395 .249 10 6 -15 1 -11 -5
MEN_ON 2025 GIB ACL 71 15 2 1 1 9 23 28 23 0 0 56 .211 .313 .310 .215 6 -5 48 -10 -1 -13
MAY 2025 GIB ACL 65 16 2 1 0 5 17 15 10 0 0 49 .246 .333 .308 .224 6 -20 40 3 -10 -4
JUNE 2025 GIB ACL 67 16 4 1 1 4 22 8 11 0 0 51 .239 .301 .373 .224 6 2 -5 -15 -12 -1
JULY 2025 GIB ACL 25 5 0 0 2 6 7 7 6 0 0 20 .200 .375 .440 .278 4 26 4 3 7 -22
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Splits for 2024 GIB ACL -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Year Tm Lge AB H DB TP HR BB SO R RBI SB CS Out BAvg OBA SlgA EqA EqR POW SPD KRt WRt BIP
ALL 2024 GIB ACL 88 22 8 1 0 12 27 16 16 3 3 69 .250 .371 .364 .242 10 -17 20 -1 -3 1
vLH 2024 GIB ACL 14 4 0 0 0 4 4 3 2 0 0 10 .286 .500 .286 .301 2 -8 -5 4 4 4
vRH 2024 GIB ACL 72 18 8 1 0 7 22 11 18 0 0 54 .250 .329 .389 .234 7 -7 7 -5 -9 1
ROAD 2024 GIB ACL 40 9 3 1 0 6 12 7 9 0 0 31 .225 .326 .350 .221 4 -10 11 -1 0 -6
HOME 2024 GIB ACL 46 13 5 0 0 5 14 7 11 0 0 33 .283 .400 .391 .267 6 -7 -5 0 -7 12
EMPTY 2024 GIB ACL 34 9 2 1 0 6 11 0 1 0 0 25 .265 .390 .382 .261 4 -10 -7 -2 2 6
MEN_ON 2024 GIB ACL 52 13 6 0 0 5 15 14 19 0 0 39 .250 .350 .365 .236 5 -7 50 1 -9 -1
JUNE 2024 GIB ACL 20 4 0 0 0 3 8 2 4 0 0 16 .200 .304 .200 .156 1 -9 -6 -9 0 -2
JULY 2024 GIB ACL 66 18 8 1 0 8 18 12 16 0 0 48 .273 .385 .424 .268 9 -7 6 6 -6 5
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Splits for 2023 dgt DSL -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Year Tm Lge AB H DB TP HR BB SO R RBI SB CS Out BAvg OBA SlgA EqA EqR POW SPD KRt WRt BIP
ALL 2023 dgt DSL 58 24 6 2 4 15 11 19 21 4 2 36 .414 .547 .793 .412 20 52 17 19 14 40
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